Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.075842 0.090201 0.106325 0.125743 0.148464 0.174174 0.205445
2025-02-16 0.053590 0.071952 0.094969 0.125807 0.165894 0.216079 0.283492
2025-02-23 0.042244 0.062455 0.090086 0.130316 0.187033 0.263714 0.374730
2025-03-02 0.032431 0.052093 0.081040 0.126264 0.194512 0.292874 0.444352
2025-03-09 0.026520 0.045795 0.076060 0.126299 0.206653 0.328911 0.527235
2025-03-16 0.021741 0.040114 0.070702 0.124345 0.214741 0.359083 0.604283
2025-03-23 0.018919 0.037053 0.068871 0.127465 0.230872 0.403156 0.707871
2025-03-30 0.016025 0.033236 0.064990 0.126250 0.239187 0.435015 0.794697
2025-04-06 0.013458 0.029495 0.060541 0.123150 0.243451 0.460054 0.872251
2025-04-13 0.011254 0.026020 0.055961 0.118966 0.244904 0.479914 0.942387
2025-04-20 0.010079 0.024458 0.054863 0.121334 0.258974 0.524122 1.061643
2025-04-27 0.008959 0.022792 0.053257 0.122366 0.270412 0.564442 1.177677
2025-05-04 0.007895 0.021077 0.051333 0.122582 0.280528 0.603965 1.297956
2025-05-11 0.007075 0.019788 0.050155 0.124274 0.294039 0.651942 1.440826
2025-05-18 0.006555 0.019148 0.050367 0.129139 0.315091 0.717753 1.627467
2025-05-25 0.005611 0.017188 0.047066 0.125217 0.315792 0.740488 1.725642
2025-06-01 0.005002 0.016014 0.045513 0.125274 0.325671 0.784144 1.873577
2025-06-08 0.004386 0.014681 0.043313 0.123341 0.330483 0.816926 2.000730
2025-06-15 0.004051 0.014116 0.043069 0.126438 0.348037 0.880658 2.204576
2025-06-22 0.003596 0.013075 0.041322 0.125233 0.354537 0.919151 2.353744
2025-06-29 0.003139 0.011916 0.039032 0.122157 0.355745 0.945028 2.475599
2025-07-06 0.002711 0.010752 0.036509 0.118005 0.353496 0.962116 2.577849
2025-07-13 0.002511 0.010341 0.036219 0.120354 0.369365 1.026360 2.803338